Demis Hassabis on Rowan's Notes
Demis Hassabis on AGI by 2030, Curing Every Disease, Life After AGI, and More
The unusually precise 2030 plus-or-minus-one-year forecast is the clearest update, but most of the discussion revisits familiar material on AGI gaps, AI-assisted drug discovery, glasses, and agent safety. Worth sampling rather than prioritizing if you have followed his recent appearances.
Omni, for example, versus three years ago when when Gemini was first released. Yeah. How have your AGI timelines kind of shifted? Have they, has it gone according to plan or has it gone faster, or slower? I think it's going according to plan. So a few years ago you probably saw maybe we even talked about in interviews I used to say 5 to 10 years, maybe that's 2 or 3 years ago. I think we're sort of exactly on track. And, and I would say my confidence interval is narrowed. So, you know, these days I'm thinking it's 2030 plus or minus a year.
Hassabis presents 2030 as his current AGI target and describes remaining obstacles in reliability, memory, continual learning, reasoning, and planning. He also discusses AI-enabled drug discovery, universal digital assistants, broad access to AI, and the safety and governance requirements of the coming agentic era.